Thursday, June 23, 2011

Star Reporter Kevin McGran Calling Into Question Brian Burke Drafting Success

Prior to reading the article "Burke's NHL draft record: feast or famine", I was hoping something useful could be taken away for reflection.  Instead, it appears to be another anti Brian Burke article from Toronto sports media.  I tend to dislike articles that attempt to add substance by adding statistics but forget to add impartiality.  Essentially, the article says Burke's drafting record is under .500, and previous GM JFJ had better results drafting.  Nowhere was mentioned how other GM's compared against Burke so the reader must assume .500 mark is the standard.  What about teams that prefer to tank for five years and then make a run for the cup?  Should a Detroit or NJ GM's have a better record than .500 if they continually finish in the top of the league standings?

Kevin McGran seems to think

0.5*[Quality GM] + 0.5*[High Draft Pick] = [NHL Player]


I would argue the formula is not so simple.

0.5*[Player Development] + 0.25*[Quality Scouting Staff] +  0.15*[High Draft Pick] + 0.1*[Quality GM] +  = [NHL Player]


Player Development has many components and singularly the most important to ensure a draft pick reaches the NHL.

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